Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.179627 0.200997 0.223226 0.248019 0.274844 0.302936 0.334525
2025-01-19 0.148956 0.177736 0.209082 0.245574 0.286697 0.331419 0.383540
2025-01-26 0.128886 0.162687 0.200992 0.247218 0.301083 0.361459 0.433829
2025-02-02 0.116289 0.154301 0.198902 0.254411 0.320932 0.397375 0.491114
2025-02-09 0.103040 0.143482 0.192536 0.255375 0.332646 0.423465 0.537116
2025-02-16 0.093328 0.135882 0.189086 0.259028 0.347007 0.452456 0.586734
2025-02-23 0.087306 0.132287 0.190055 0.267724 0.367347 0.488749 0.645615
2025-03-02 0.077822 0.123129 0.183015 0.265471 0.373404 0.507198 0.682669
2025-03-09 0.070496 0.116199 0.178260 0.265605 0.382068 0.528670 0.723504
2025-03-16 0.063556 0.109148 0.172735 0.264165 0.388267 0.546791 0.760128
2025-03-23 0.059604 0.106076 0.172400 0.269514 0.403316 0.576323 0.811572
2025-03-30 0.054540 0.100863 0.168616 0.269737 0.411244 0.596530 0.851158
2025-04-06 0.049667 0.095701 0.164806 0.270027 0.419657 0.618113 0.893795
2025-04-13 0.044816 0.090123 0.159978 0.268518 0.425375 0.636092 0.931929
2025-04-20 0.041406 0.086592 0.157971 0.270908 0.436463 0.661373 0.980071
2025-04-27 0.039609 0.085628 0.159818 0.278981 0.455722 0.698032 1.043973
2025-05-04 0.036484 0.082041 0.157268 0.280224 0.465069 0.721155 1.089897
2025-05-11 0.034208 0.079758 0.156629 0.284262 0.478456 0.749993 1.143927
2025-05-18 0.033143 0.079610 0.159434 0.293660 0.499860 0.790315 1.214205
2025-05-25 0.030013 0.075237 0.154908 0.291283 0.503611 0.805757 1.250332
2025-06-01 0.027602 0.072014 0.152104 0.291449 0.511049 0.826420 1.293865
2025-06-08 0.025132 0.068409 0.148392 0.289917 0.515753 0.843125 1.331979
2025-06-15 0.023959 0.067380 0.149141 0.295663 0.531662 0.876150 1.393399